Current Account Deficit

1 Oct 2024

India’s current account deficit (CAD) widened marginally to $9.7 billion (1.1% of GDP) in Q1 FY25 from $8.9 billion (1% of GDP) in the year-earlier period and a surplus of $4.6 billion (0.5% of GDP) in Q4FY24, as per Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data.

Key Highlights of the RBI Data

  • Merchandise Trade Deficit: The primary reason for the CAD widening was the rise in the merchandise trade deficit to $65.1 billion in Q1 FY25 from $56.7 billion in Q1 FY24.
  • Services Receipts Growth: Net services receipts rose to $39.7 billion from $35.1 billion a year ago, with increases in exports of computer, business, travel, and transportation services.
  • Private Transfer Receipts: Remittances by Indians abroad increased to $29.5 billion in Q1 FY25, up from $27.1 billion in Q1 FY24.
  • Primary Income Outflows: Net outgo on the primary income account rose to $10.7 billion, reflecting higher payments on investment income.
  • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): FDI inflows increased to $6.3 billion in Q1 FY25, compared to $4.7 billion in Q1 FY24.
  • Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI): FPI inflows moderated significantly to $0.9 billion, down from $15.7 billion in Q1 FY24.
  • External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs): ECB inflows decreased to $1.8 billion from $5.6 billion a year ago.
  • Non-Resident Deposits: Net inflows from NRI deposits increased to $4.0 billion, compared to $2.2 billion in Q1 FY24.
  • Foreign Exchange Reserves: Foreign exchange reserves saw an accretion of $5.2 billion in Q1 FY25, lower than $24.4 billion in Q1 FY24.

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What is the Current Account Deficit and Its Trends? 

  • Current account deficit is the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. 
    • It is a key indicator of the country’s external sector.
  • Components: It is the sum of Balance of Trade (Export minus Imports of Goods and Services) + Net Factor Income from Abroad (Interest income and Dividends, etc) and Net Transfer Payments ( Eg- Foreign Aid) 
  • Formula: Current Account = Trade Balance+Net factor income+Net transfer payments 
  • “Twin deficit”: The situation in which one nation has a current account deficit (trade deficit) and Fiscal deficit at the same time.
    • Fiscal Deficit= Total Expenditure- Total Receipts (excluding borrowings).

Causes of Current Account Deficit

 Current Account Deficit

Implication of Current Account Deficit

  • Depreciation of Rupee: A large current account deficit for a continued period of time can lead to depreciation of rupee, and the demand for foreign currency (especially dollars) will see a rise.
  • Inflation: Depreciation of rupee, as a result of continued deficit in the country’s current account, will see prices of imported goods becoming costlier, and in turn pushes the country towards inflation.
  • Elevated Interest Rates: It will affect the investment & consumption cycle of the economy.
  • Economic Growth: Persistent CAD affects economic imbalances which further hinders sustainable growth prospects of the country.
  • Trade Balance: Due to Current account deficits Competitiveness & stability of Domestic Industries will get affected.

Ways to Moderate India’s Current Account Deficit

  • Reduce the price of commodities.
  • Appreciation of rupee.
  • Lessen debt taken from developed nations.
  • Reduce foreign ownership of assets.
  • Improve the quality of imported goods.
  • Reduce non-essential imports of gold, mobiles, and electronics.
  • Increase value of exports.

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Balance of Payment and Its Components

  • Definition: Balance Of Payment (BOP) is a bookkeeping system that summarises the country’s economic transaction with other countries of the world for a particular period. 
  • Impact: BoP keeps track of the trade and investments and transfers in a country with the rest of the world. 
  • Components: The BoP is composed of Capital and Current Accounts. 

Current Account  Capital Account 
Definition The current Account is the account that records the goods exports and imports, as well as trade in services and transfer payments.  Capital Account is the account that keeps track of Borrowing and Lending of Capital assets and non-financial assets between the countries.
Components  The current account is made up of visible trade( Goods), invisible trade (Services), transfer payments, net factor income, and remittances The current account is made up of borrowings, lendings and investments.
Impact The current account of a country keeps track of the country’s transactions with other countries. The capital account of a country keeps track of the country’s investment and loans with other countries. 

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