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How Unemployment is Measured

Context

In order to successfully tackle, it is important to understand how unemployment is defined and measured in a developing economy like India.

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  • According to the Periodic Labour force Survey (PLFS) 2017, unemployment rate of India was highest i.e 6.1%. However a recent PLFS report (2021-22) showed declining trends i.e  4.1%.
  • One Size Does Not Fits All: The economies of the U.S (industrialized) and India (developing) are very different. As such, the methods used to measure unemployment are very different.

About Unemployment:

  • Definition: According to the International Labour Organisation (ILO), an unemployed person is a person aged 15 or over who simultaneously meets three conditions
    • Unemployment is being out of a job.
    • Being available to take a job.
    • Actively engaged in searching for a job. 
  • Trends in unemployment rates in india: Refer table 1.

7

Methodology of measuring unemployment in India

  • The National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) launched the PLFS with the primary objectives of providing more frequent and comprehensive labor force data. The PLFS has two main objectives:
    • To estimate the key employment and unemployment indicators (viz. Worker Population Ratio, Labour Force Participation Rate, Unemployment Rate) for the urban areas only in the ‘Current Weekly Status’ (CWS).
    • To estimate employment and unemployment indicators in both ‘Usual Status’ and CWS in both rural and urban areas annually
  • Center for Monitoring the Indian economy (CMIE) conducts its own survey and periodically presents data and reports on unemployment following different methodology.
Associated Concepts

  • Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR): LFPR is defined as the percentage of persons in the labour force (i.e. working or seeking or available for work)in the population.
  • Worker Population Ratio (WPR): WPR is defined as the percentage of employed persons in the population.
  • Unemployment Rate (UR): UR is defined as the percentage of persons unemployed among the persons in the labor force.
  • Activity Status- 
    • Usual Status: The activity status of a person is determined on the basis of the activities pursued by the person during the specified reference period. When the activity status is determined on the basis of the reference period of the last 365 days preceding the date of survey, it is known as the usual activity status of the person.
    • Current Weekly Status (CWS): The activity status determined on the basis of a reference period of last 7 days preceding the date of survey is known as the current weekly status (CWS) of the person. 

Key Challenges in Methodology of Measuring Unemployment

  • Conceptual framework of key employment and unemployment indicators
    • An individual’s principal status is based on the activity in which they spent relatively a long time in the previous year. 
    • The CWS adopts a shorter reference period of a week.
  • Informal nature of  job markets: In terms of employment share the unorganized sector employs 83% of the work force and 17% in the organized sector. 
    • There are 92.4% informal workers (with no written contract, paid leave and other benefits) in the economy.
  • Agrarian Economy: The low bar for classifying an individual as employed is why rural areas tend to have lower unemployment rates than urban areas. 
    • For instance, in agrarian economies, individuals have better chances of finding some kind of work, even if it is informal.
  • Social Norms and Gender Roles:
    • Traditional gender roles often place the responsibility of domestic work and caregiving on women. 
    • For instance, 29.4% of women (aged 15-59) were part of India’s labor force in 2021-22, in contrast, men’s LFPR was 80.7% in 2021-22.
  • Lockdown Effect (Covid-19) : the different measurement criteria may not fully capture the effects of such disruptions, leading to discrepancies in reported unemployment rates.

Steps taken to address unemployment by Central government

  • Atma Nirbhar Bharat Package: The government announced the Aatmanirbhar Bharat package to stimulate business and mitigate the impact of COVID-19. It includes various long-term schemes and policies for self-reliance and employment opportunities.
  • Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (MGNREGS): Statutory guaranteed 100 days employment for an unskilled worker in rural areas.
  • Flagship Programme: Initiatives like and Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Grameen Kaushalya Yojana (DDU-GKY) are encouraged for employment generation.
  • Others: Make in India, Start-up India, Digital India, Smart City Mission, Housing for All, and Industrial Corridors are also oriented towards creating employment opportunities.

WAY FORWARD

  • Incorporate Underemployment: The current methodology primarily focuses on open unemployment and does not adequately capture underemployment. 
    • Expanding the definition to include those who are employed but not fully utilizing their skills or working fewer hours than desired.
  • Regular and Comprehensive Surveys: It can help capture fluctuations in employment patterns and provide policymakers with timely information.
  • Improve Data Quality and Consistency: By investing in training for surveyors and adopting modern data collection technologies to minimize errors.
  • Include Informal Sector: A significant portion of India’s workforce is employed in the informal sector, which often goes unaccounted for in official statistics. 
    • Develop methodologies to better capture informal employment and its dynamics.
  • Seasonal Employment Adjustment: Develop methods for seasonally adjusting unemployment rates, especially in sectors like agriculture where employment patterns vary throughout the year.
  • Utilize Technology: To track employment trends in real-time. 
    • This can include analyzing online job portals, social media, and other digital sources for labor market insights.

SOURCE : THE HINDU

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