A study published in Nature’s Scientific Reports (2025), reveals that sunshine hours across most of India have declined steadily from 1988–2018, due to increased cloud cover and aerosol pollution.
- The Study was conducted jointly by Banaras Hindu University (BHU), Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM Pune), and India Meteorological Department (IMD).
Key Findings of the Study
- Declining Sunshine: Sunshine hours, the duration when sunlight is strong enough to be recorded have fallen across almost all Indian regions over the past three decades.
- Regional Decline Rates:
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- North Indian Plains: Steepest fall of 13.1 hours per year.
- West Coast: Decline of 8.6 hours per year.
- East Coast: Decline of 4.9 hours per year.
- Central Region: Decline of 4.7 hours per year.
- Deccan Plateau: Decline of 3.1 hours per year.
- Northeast India: marginal stabilisation observed
- Seasonal Variation:
- Sunshine increased between October and May (dry months).
- Sharp declines between June and September (monsoon months), coinciding with heavier cloud cover and persistent haze.
Causes of ‘Solar Dimming’
- Aerosol Pollution:
- Rising industrial emissions, biomass burning, and vehicular exhaust increase aerosol concentration.
- Aerosols act as condensation nuclei, forming smaller, longer-lived clouds that extend overcast conditions.
- Persistent Cloud Cover:
- Aerosols prolong cloud lifespan, increasing cloud residence time and reducing solar radiation reaching the ground.
- The 2025 monsoon season reflected this pattern, with frequent overcast skies even without rainfall, especially across the West Coast, Deccan, and Central India.
- Climate Feedback Loop:
- Reduced solar radiation alters land–atmosphere heat exchange, potentially influencing monsoon circulation and rainfall variability.
Implications for India
- Renewable Energy: The decline in solar radiation poses a challenge to solar power generation, potentially affecting India’s renewable energy targets under the National Solar Mission.
- Agriculture: Lower sunlight affects photosynthesis and crop productivity, especially for solar-sensitive crops like paddy and wheat.
- Climate Modelling: Solar dimming alters the energy balance, impacting regional monsoon dynamics and long-term climate forecasts.
Public Health: Reduced ultraviolet radiation could influence vitamin D synthesis, while high aerosol concentration worsens air quality and respiratory health.