Data Points:

India’s Inflation Higher than Peers

Context: 

India’s peers among the largest economies in the world have broadly been seeing a declining trend in inflation in recent months.

Key Points:

13.5

  • Global Inflation Trends: Germany, UK, and the US have seen declining inflation in recent months compared to the previous year.
  • India’s Inflation Scenario: India’s inflation decline has been limited, aligning it closer to BRICS peers but with higher inflation rates.
    • August saw India’s inflation dip to 6.83% from 7.44% in July due to monsoon disruptions and crop damage.
  • 13.6Government Action: India responded to rising prices by reducing domestic liquefied petroleum gas prices and implementing export bans on food items.
  • Global Food Price Status: The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation reported a two-year low in global food prices in August.
    • India’s rice export restrictions contributed to a 15-year high in the FAO’s rice index.
  • Comparison with Peers: India’s inflation remains higher than top developed countries and its BRICS counterparts.
Libya

13.7

Dams bursting during a storm caused severe damage to a quarter of Libya’s eastern city, Derna.

About Libya:

  • Libya, a predominantly desert nation with significant oil reserves, gained independence in 1951.
  • Geography and Population: Libya, situated in North Africa, primarily consists of the vast Sahara desert. 
    • The majority of its population resides along the coastal areas, where key cities like Tripoli and Benghazi are located.
  • Libya is geographically defined by its boundaries:
    • North: Bordered by the Mediterranean Sea.
    • East: Shares a border with Egypt.
    • South: Shares boundaries with Niger and Chad.
    • West: Bordered by Tunisia and Algeria.
  • Capital: Tripoli
  • Language: Arabic
Floodplain Loss

13.8

Researchers have created a comprehensive global dataset spanning 15 million square kilometers of floodplains across 520 major river basins from 1992 to 2019. 

    • A floodplain is “any land area susceptible to being inundated by floodwaters from any source”.
  • This dataset is the first of its kind, quantifying human modifications in floodplains worldwide.
  • Methodology: Used three geospatial datasets to track global floodplain extent, land use changes, and river basin boundaries for analysis.

Key Findings from the Study on Global Floodplain Alterations (1992-2019):

  • Extent of Alterations: 460,000 sq km of floodplain converted for agriculture; 140,000 sq km redeveloped within existing floodplains.
  • Continental Impact: Asia saw the largest loss (200,000 sq km), followed by South America (92,000 sq km) and Africa (73,000 sq km).
    • Specific Cases: Amazon and Yangtze river basins experienced proportional increase in agriculture, leading to forest area reduction.
  • Indian Subcontinent Focus: Irrawaddy (4.6%), Tapi (3%), Indus (3.2%), and Cauvery (2.7%) river basins noted significant floodplain alterations.
Nipah Outbreak

13.9

Context: 

The recent outbreak of the Nipah virus in Kerala has claimed several lives.

About Nipah Virus:

  • It belongs to the family Paramyxoviridae, genus Henipavirus.
  • Fatality Rate: The WHO estimates that between 40% and 75% of cases can result in death.
  • Spread: 
    • It is a zoonotic virus, transmitted from animals to humans.
    • Reservoir: The fruit bat, also known as the flying fox, serves as the animal host reservoir for the virus.
  • Symptoms: Fever, headache, drowsiness, disorientation, mental confusion, coma, potential death.
  • Presently, there are no vaccines available for both humans and animals. Intensive supportive care is given to humans infected by Nipah virus.
Retail Inflation in India Retail inflation in India decreased from July’s 15-month high of 7.44% to 6.83% in August, primarily due to a decline in vegetable prices.

  • However, the Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation remained above the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) target range of 2-6%.
    • CPI is a comprehensive measure used for estimation of price changes in a basket of goods and services representative of consumption expenditure in an economy is called consumer price index.

Food Inflation Decline:

  • Food inflation, accounting for nearly half of the overall consumer price basket, dropped to 9.94% in August from 11.51% in July, according to data from the ministry of statistics and programme implementation (MoSPI).
  • This was driven by lower vegetable prices, along with reduced costs in clothing, footwear, housing, and miscellaneous items.
  • Key Factors: Within food items, vegetable inflation fell from 37.4% in July to 26.1% in August, contributing significantly to the decline in headline CPI inflation.

Core Inflation and Bond Markets:

  • Core inflation remained at 4.8%, aligning with market expectations.
  • The bond market may experience slight relief with a potential downward movement in yields, but the persistence and trajectory of inflation will determine broader market trends.

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