Could India Experience a Bangladesh like Crisis?

Could India Experience a Bangladesh like Crisis?

In Bangladesh, at least 300 people reportedly died in the violence. Curfews were imposed and the internet was shut down for several days, impacting the day-to-day operations in the “fragile” economy. 

Relevancy for Prelims: India-Bangladesh Relations, Sheikh Hasina Exits Bangladesh, Bangladesh Map, Coup, Bangladesh Constitution, etc.

Relevancy for Mains: Political instability in Bangladesh, Factors that contribute to India’s resilience against political instability, etc.  

Historical Context

  • Emergency Period in India (1975-1977):
    • General TN Raina refused to involve the army in politics during the Emergency.
    • Sheikh HasinaDemonstrated professionalism and apolitical nature of the Indian Army.
  • Freedom Struggle Legacy:
    • Indian freedom struggle based on values, especially Gandhian non-violence.
    • Shaped Indian mindset towards peaceful protests.

Constitutional Framework

  • Indian Constitution:
  • Bangladesh Constitution:
    • Multiple changes to basic structure.
    • 8th Amendment: Declared Islam as state religion.
    • 15th Amendment: Removed caretaker government provision for elections.

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Political System

  • India:
    • Multi-party system. 
    • Federal structure with strong state-level parties.
    • Smooth transfer of power historically.
  • Bangladesh:
    • Tendency towards one-party rule.
    • Awami League in power for 15 years.
    • Accusations of dictatorship against Sheikh Hasina.

Military and Governance

  • India: 
    • Concept of “Coup-proofing” (Steven Wilkinson).
    • Clear separation between military and internal affairs.
    • Paramilitary forces (CRPF, CISF) for internal security.
  • Bangladesh: 
    • Military interference in internal matters.
    • History of coups and political instability.

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Societal Structure

  • India:
    • Highly diverse (ethnicity, language, religion).
    • Diversity acts as a safeguard against uniformity in public opinion.
  • Bangladesh:
    • Relatively homogeneous society.
    • Easier to mobilize the population on single issues.

Economic Factors

  • India:
    • Diverse and resilient economy.
    • 5th largest economy globally.
    • Not dependent on a single sector.
  • Bangladesh:
    • Economy heavily dependent on textile sector.
    • Vulnerable to sector-specific fluctuations.

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Conclusion

Despite some surface-level similarities, India’s robust democratic institutions, diverse society, and economic resilience make it unlikely to face a situation similar to Bangladesh’s recent crisis.

Mains Question:

Q. Despite sharing a common historical background, India and Bangladesh have diverged significantly in their political evolution and institutional stability.” In light of this statement, critically examine the factors that contribute to India’s resilience against political instability.  (15 Marks, 250 Words)

 

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