Despite high GDP growth post-1991 LPG (Liberalisation, Privatisation, Globalisation) reforms, India is facing a severe multidimensional socio-economic crisis stemming from its economic model.
Crisis Stemming from the Current Economic Model
- Jobless Growth: Despite an 8.2% GDP growth rate, India is experiencing jobless growth.
- This is evidenced by thousands of PhD holders and engineers applying for peon positions.
- 800 million people still require food subsidies, suggesting the benefits of growth are not reaching the masses.
- Disguised Unemployment: 60% of the population relies on agriculture, yet the sector only contributes 15-20% to the GDP, leading to low productivity and farmer suicides.
- Ghost Villages: In states like Punjab and Haryana, youth are selling land to migrate abroad illegally, leaving behind villages inhabited only by the elderly.
- Regional Disparity: Just 10 cities account for 25% of India’s GDP, leading to extreme urban congestion and the breakdown of social bonds among migrants living in slums.
- Harsh Living Conditions: There’s extensive air and water pollution in cities, and the authorities cannot keep up with the increasing demand for municipal services.
- Example: In winter, the air in New Delhi and many other cities across India is hazardous to people’s health.
- Traffic congestion and delays are often horrendous, even in cities with Metros.
- Rupee Decline: The 2006 Tarapore Committee plan to internationalise the Rupee remains unimplemented as the currency continues to decline against the Dollar.
- Limited Technological Leadership: On the positive side, India has had considerable success in knowledge-based sectors such as software and pharmaceuticals, but even there, it is not a world leader.
- During the COVID-19 era, India’s Serum Institute produced vaccines for many countries, but its technology was imported.
- India has not yet created a single world-class AI/ML app.
- Further, India does not play a leading role in other emerging world-dominant technologies such as batteries and storage, electric vehicles, new pharmaceuticals, and gene editing, even though it could.
Conclusion
After about 35 years of the current model, India’s educational institutions, think tanks, and concerned citizens must urgently focus on the features of a new economic model for India. This urgency is critical, as there are only 22 years left until 2047.