The India-Canada standoff: What led to it, the problems it raises

Context:

  • India and Canada are dealing with an unprecedented diplomatic crisis, which can have political and geopolitical consequences.

More on News:

  • India has issued a travel advisory for Indian nationals travelling to Canada, as well as a caution for the Indian community in Canada.
  • Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau(PMJT) alleged that India may have been involved in the murder of a Khalistani separatist named Hardeep Najjar in Canada in June 2023. 

Overview Of India-Canada Relations:

  • Strategic Relations:
    • 22.2India and Canada have a long history of bilateral relations, underpinned by shared values of democracy, pluralism, and people-to-people ties.
    • The relationship was elevated to a strategic partnership in 2015, and both Prime Ministers have met on several occasions to discuss regional and global issues
    • Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy which aligns with India’s vision of a free, open, and inclusive Indo-Pacific.
  • Economic Relations
    • Bilateral trade in goods amounted to USD 8.16 billion in FY2022-23 (Refer Image)
    • India and Canada are discussing a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) and a Bilateral Investment Promotion and Partnership Agreement (BIPPA/FIPA). A virtual stocktaking meeting on CEPA and BIPA between India and Canada was held on 22 June 2020.
  • Indian Diaspora:
    • India and Canada have strong people-to-people ties, with a large Indian diaspora living in Canada. They also have a close cultural relationship, with regular exchanges in film, music, and other art forms (Refer-Image).
  • Indian students
    • Canada is an attractive destination for Indians, especially students. In 2022, nearly 300,000 Indians were pursuing higher education in Canada {India’s Bureau of Immigration(IBM)].
  • Canadian tourists in India:
    • In 2021, 80,000 Canadian tourists visited India, making them the fourth largest group(IBM).
  • Energy Cooperation:
    • During the visit of PMJT in February 2018, the scope of the Energy Dialogue was expanded to additionally include electricity, energy efficiency and renewable energy.
    • For Example: India Oil Corporation has a 10% participating interest in a Liquid Natural Gas project in British Columbia.
  • Nuclear Cooperation:
    • A Nuclear Cooperation Agreement (NCA) with Canada was signed in June 2010 and came into force in September 2013. 
  • Science and Technology
    • Indo-Canadian Science and Technology cooperation has been primarily focussed on promoting Industrial R&D which has potential for application through the development of new IP, processes, prototypes or products. 
    • Canada was a partner country for the Technology Summit 2017, held in New Delhi on 14-15 November 2017.

Challenges of the India-Canada Relationship:

Terrorism at the Heart of Tensions:

  • The biggest issue for India is the safe haven that Canada has provided to separatist Khalistani groups.
  • Canada is turning a blind eye to the activities of subversive and radical elements who are using Canadian soil to destabilise India and carry out political assassinations, and gangland killings, fund subversive elements, and support narcotics and human trafficking networks inside India.
Canada is becoming an international hub of the Anti-India movement as well as a safe haven for criminals due to the following factors:

  • Sizeable Sikh population: Canada has the second largest Sikh population in the world after India. This gives Khalistani leaders significant sway over local politics and governing bodies.
  • Becoming a hub of Separatists: Canada’s liberal values and commitment to human rights and free speech provide an ideal environment for anti-Indian propaganda fueled by Pakistan’s ISI and separatists.
  • Political compulsions of Justin Trudeau: Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party minority government relies on the support of the NDP, led by Jagmeet Singh, a separatist whose visa was denied by the Indian government in 2013. This has made it difficult for Trudeau to take a strong stance against Khalistani separatism.
  • Attitude of Canadian authorities: Canadian laws have loopholes that make it easy for criminals to evade justice. This has allowed renowned separatist leaders and drug cartel members to find a safe haven in Canada.
  • Deep entrenchment of drug cartels in Canadian law enforcement agencies: Drug cartels established by Pakistan’s ISI in the 1990s to fund the separatist movement in Indian Punjab have deep ties to Canadian law enforcement agencies. This has enabled them to operate with impunity.

Other Major challenges:

  • Trade Tensions: India and Canada have been negotiating a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) for several years, but the talks have been stalled over several issues, including tariffs and intellectual property rights. The lack of a trade agreement has been a source of frustration for both sides and has hampered trade and investment between the two countries.
  • Diplomatic Disputes: In recent years, there have been a number of diplomatic disputes between India and Canada, including over the issue of Sikh separatism and the treatment of Indian nationals in Canada. These disputes have further strained relations between the two countries.
  • Security Concerns: India has expressed concerns about the presence of Khalistani extremist groups in Canada and about the possibility of terrorist attacks on Indian nationals in Canada. Canada has assured India that it is taking steps to address these concerns, but the issue remains a source of tension.
  • Human Rights Concerns: India has also expressed concerns about human rights abuses in Canada, including the treatment of Indigenous peoples and the alleged racial profiling of minorities
  • Despite these challenges, India and Canada remain important partners to each other. They share a strong economic relationship and have close people-to-people ties. Both countries are also working together on several global issues, including climate change and terrorism.
Potential Implications of worsening India-Canada Relations:

  • Global politics: India and Canada could be at odds on a range of issues, such as the response to the Ukraine war, the reform of the UN Security Council, and the Indo-Pacific region. This could make it more difficult to build consensus on important global issues.
  • Multilateralism: The two countries are both members of important international organizations like the G20 and the United Nations. If they are unable to cooperate with each other, it could make it more difficult for these organizations to function effectively.
  • Internal Security: It could lead to increased tensions and conflict between the Indian and Canadian communities in both countries. This could pose a challenge to law enforcement and intelligence agencies.
  • Cooperation in Indo-Pacific: India-Canada cooperation is essential for maintaining a free and open Indo-Pacific. If relations continue to worsen, it could undermine the efforts of the Quad and other countries to promote a rules-based order in the region.
  • Reduced Trade and Investment: India and Canada are both important economic partners. A worsening of relations could lead to a reduction in trade and investment between the two countries. 
    • For example: The negotiations on the free trade agreement have been paused and are unlikely to be resumed until the diplomatic row is settled.

Way Forward: 

  • Establish a high-level Dialogue Mechanism: This mechanism could be led by the Foreign Ministers of the two countries, or by other senior officials to discuss and resolve sensitive issues.
    • Both India and Canada need to take steps to de-escalate the situation. They need to engage in dialogue and try to understand each other’s concerns. They also need to be transparent about their actions and intentions.
  • Diplomatic Measures to Counter Anti-India Separatist Movements:
    • Convey to host countries that they cannot simultaneously have good relations with India while allowing anti-India separatist movements to operate on their soil.
    • Avoid public statements that could further damage the relationship. It is important to engage in constructive dialogue behind the scenes, rather than making public statements that could make it more difficult to resolve the issues.
  • Reciprocal Arrangements with Canada, the UK, and the US.
    • Countries like the USA, UK, and Australia should join Canada in a united front to counter the issue of Khalistani separatism, which is supported by groups outside of India. (Similar to the steps that India has taken to counter Islamic terrorist organisations like ISIS.)
    • Through regular dialogue, cultural and educational exchanges, and other initiatives that promote understanding and trust between the diaspora and the Indian government.
  • Devising a Mechanism for the Extradition and Deportation of Terrorist Operatives:
    • This can be done through bilateral treaties and other arrangements with the countries where these operatives are located.
  • Countering Khalistani Propaganda: Increase cooperation in areas of mutual interest, such as trade, investment, education, and people-to-people ties. This could be done through joint initiatives, such as business delegations, student exchanges, and cultural events other initiatives that promote understanding and trust between the diaspora and the Indian government.

Source: Indian Express

 

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