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Types of Deficits in India, Their Implications, and Monetization

March 27, 2024 2866 0

Introduction

A budget deficit occurs when government expenses exceed revenue. It can be used as an indicator of the financial health of a country. It is a term more commonly used to refer to government spending and receipts rather than businesses or individuals. 

When a budget deficit occurs, it means that the current expenses surpass the income generated from regular operations. To correct its nation’s budget deficit, often referred to as a fiscal deficit, a government may cut back on certain expenditures or increase revenue-generating activities.

Different Types of Deficit

Here are the different types of deficits and the methods to calculate them.

A. Revenue Deficit

  • This deficit is seen when the actual amount of revenue or expenditure does not correspond with the budgeted revenue or expenditure.
  • Revenue Deficit= Revenue Expenditure Revenue Receipts
    • In 2022-23, the revenue deficit was reported to be 4.1% of GDP.  
  • Revenue Surplus: When the net income is more than the net expenditure this scenario is known as Revenue surplus.
  • Scope: It only accounts for transactions affecting the current income and expenditure of the government.
  • Government Borrowing: A revenue deficit indicates government dis-saving, utilising savings from other economic sectors to finance part of its consumption expenditure, thereby necessitating government debt for both investment and consumption requirements.
    • Such borrowing is considered regressive as it is for consumption and not for creating assets.

B. Fiscal Deficit (UPSC 2017)

  • Gross Fiscal Deficit = Total ExpenditureRevenue Receipts+Non-debt creating capital receipts.
    • Non-debt-creating Capital Receipts: Include recoveries of loans and proceeds from the sale of PSUs, which do not give rise to debt.
    • In 2022-23 fiscal deficit amounting to 6.4% of GDP, indicates the total borrowing requirements from all sources:
    • Financing the Fiscal Deficit: The fiscal deficit will have to be financed through borrowing, it indicates the total borrowing requirements of the government from all sources
  • Gross Fiscal Deficit (From the financing side) = Net borrowing at home + Borrowing from RBI + Borrowing from abroad.
    • Net Borrowing at Home: includes directly borrowing from the public through debt instruments and indirectly from commercial banks through SLR.
  • Significance of Fiscal Deficit: 
    • It is a crucial indicator of the financial health of the public sector and economic stability.
    • A significant share of revenue deficit in fiscal deficit implies a large portion of borrowing is used for consumption expenditure rather than investment.

C. Primary Deficit

  • Gross Primary Deficit= Gross Fiscal Deficit Net interest liabilities.
    • Net Interest Liabilities: These include interest payments minus interest receipts by the government on net domestic lending.

D. Effective Revenue Deficit

  • Effective revenue deficit excludes certain revenue expenditures that are considered productive or developmental. 
  • The idea is to distinguish between regular revenue expenditures and those that contribute to capital formation or asset creation.

Effective Revenue Deficit = Revenue Deficit − Net Grants for Capital Creation

Significance of Deficit Measures – Implications and Consequences

  • Importance of Deficit Measures: These deficit measures are crucial for evaluating the government’s fiscal discipline, borrowing requirements, and the economic impact on stability and growth.
  • Persistent Deficits: Especially revenue deficits, may lead to unsustainable borrowing, accumulation of debt, and eventual expenditure cuts, which could adversely affect growth and welfare. (UPSC 2016) 

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Monetization of Deficit and Deficit Financing (UPSC 2022)

Particular Monetization of Deficit Deficit Financing
Definition
  • The process of financing a budget deficit by directly creating new money, often involving the central bank purchasing government securities.
  • The broader concept of funding a budget deficit, which can be achieved through  various means, including borrowing, issuing securities, or creating new  money.
Primary  Actor
  • Government (Treasury/Finance Ministry)
Mechanisms
  • Open Market Operations (purchase of government securities).
  • Direct lending to the government by creating new money.
  • Borrowing through issuing bonds, Issuing securities such as
  • Treasury bills, and Creating new money (printing money) in extreme  cases.
Source  of Funds
  • Newly   created money by the central bank.
  • Borrowed funds from the public, financial institutions, or other governments.
Inflationary  Impact
  • Can  lead to inflation due to the increase in the money supply without a corresponding increase in goods and services.
  • Inflationary  impact is possible, particularly if deficit financing involves creating new money. 
  • However, it may not be as direct or immediate as in monetization.
Market  Mechanism Distortion
  • Direct  involvement of the central bank in purchasing government securities may  distort market mechanisms.
  • Relies  on market mechanisms like bond markets and can lead to more conventional  market interactions.
Interest  Rates Impact
  • Can  influence short-term interest rates as a result of open market operations.
  • Impact  on interest rates is more indirect and depends on various factors, including  market demand for government securities.
Exchange  Rate Impact
  • May  contribute to the depreciation of the currency due to inflation concerns.
  • Impact  on exchange rates is generally influenced by market perception, inflation,  and overall economic conditions.
Debt  Accumulation
  • May  contribute to the accumulation of national debt over time.
  • Results  in the accumulation of debt when funds are borrowed, but the direct creation  of new money is not the primary cause.
Long-Term  Consequences
  • Can  lead to a cycle of debt dependency and potential challenges in controlling  inflation.
  • While  accumulating debt is a concern, the focus is on managing debt through  sustainable fiscal policies.
Examples in History
  • Instances  of hyperinflation, such as in some developing countries during economic  crises.
  • Common practice in various economies,  especially during economic downturns or periods of significant public  spending.

Conclusion

  • Various types of deficits, such as fiscal and revenue deficits, highlight the imbalance between government expenditures and revenues. 
  • Financing these deficits through borrowing underscores the importance of prudent fiscal management to avoid unsustainable debt accumulation, which could hamper economic growth and welfare in the long term.
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