Provisional Estimates of Annual Gross Domestic Product For 2025-26

6 Jun 2026

Provisional Estimates of Annual Gross Domestic Product For 2025-26

The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) released the Provisional Estimates (PE) of Annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the Financial Year (2025-26).

  • Q4 FY 2025–26 GDP and Expenditure Estimates: The Ministry has also released Quarterly Estimates of GDP for the Fourth Quarter (Q4, January-March) of FY 2025-26 along with its Expenditure components both at Constant (2022-23) and Current prices.

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Key Highlights of India’s GDP Performance (FY 2025–26)

  • Strong Economic Growth: Real GDP grew by 7.7% in FY 2025–26.
    • Nominal GDP expanded by 8.9%.
  • Healthy Expansion in Economic Activity (GVA): Real GVA increased by 7.9% whereas, the Nominal GVA grew by 9.1%.
  • Services and Industry led Growth
    • Tertiary (Services) Sector: Grew by 9.3%, emerging as the largest growth driver.
    • Secondary (Industry) Sector: Expanded by 8.8%, supported by manufacturing and construction.
    • Primary Sector: Recorded 3.2% growth, driven mainly by agriculture and fisheries.
  • High-Growth Sectors: The following sectors registered double-digit growth: Manufacturing, Trade, Repair, Hotels, Transport, Communication & Broadcasting-related Services, Financial, Real Estate & Professional Services
  • Strong Consumption and Investment Demand: Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) grew by more than 7.5%, indicating robust consumer demand.
    • Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) grew by more than 7.5%, reflecting strong investment activity.

Key Concepts

  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Measures the total value of all final goods and services produced within a country during a given period.
  • Real GDP: Measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy at constant prices, excluding the effect of inflation.
  • Nominal GDP: Measures the total value of goods and services produced in an economy at current market prices, including the effect of inflation.
  • Gross Value Added (GVA): Measures the value added by different sectors of the economy and is calculated as output minus intermediate consumption.
    • Relationship: GDP = GVA + Taxes on Products − Subsidies on Products.
  • Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE): Measures the total spending by households on goods and services for personal consumption, indicating the strength of consumer demand.
  • Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF): Measures investment in fixed assets such as infrastructure, machinery, and buildings, indicating the economy’s capacity for future growth.

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Q4 (January–March 2026) Performance

  • Growth Momentum Sustained: Real GDP grew by 7.8% and the Nominal GDP increased by 9.1%.
  • GVA Growth Remained Robust: Real GVA: 7.9% and the Nominal GVA: 9.9%
  • Industry and Services Continued to Drive Growth: Secondary and Tertiary sectors remained the key contributors to economic expansion during the quarter.
  • Investment Outpaced Consumption: 
    • GFCF: Grew by 10.8%, indicating strong capital formation.
    • PFCE: Increased by 7.1%, reflecting healthy consumer spending.

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Provisional Estimates of Annual Gross Domestic Product For 2025-26

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UDAAN PRELIMS WALLAH
Comprehensive coverage with a concise format
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Designed as per recent trends of Prelims questions
हिंदी में भी उपलब्ध

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